O camiño á complexidadepor que a economía debería seguir á física

  1. Varela Cabo, Luis Miguel
  2. Ricoy Riego, Carlos
Revista:
Revista galega de economía: Publicación Interdisciplinar da Facultade de Ciencias Económicas e Empresariais

ISSN: 1132-2799

Ano de publicación: 2012

Volume: 21

Número: 1

Páxinas: 243-278

Tipo: Artigo

Outras publicacións en: Revista galega de economía: Publicación Interdisciplinar da Facultade de Ciencias Económicas e Empresariais

Resumo

Na presente contribución mostraremos que a dirección dominante da economía contemporánea, tras o seu desenvolvemento inicial no marco conceptual e analítico da física clásica do século XIX, segue ancorada no seu “core” conceptual –a teoría neoclásica de equilibrio xeral–, ignorando a evolución da propia física ao longo do século XX cara ao tratamento de sistemas complexos, e aínda a natureza mesma do seu obxecto de coñecemento. Para isto, e logo de resumir brevemente o formalismo da física clásica e a formulación da propia economía neoclásica, analizaremos a evolución de ambas as dúas disciplinas ao longo do pasado século, con atención particular ao desenvolvemento da termodinámica desde o seu formalismo de equilibrio ata o concepto de estruturas disipativas da termodinámica non lineal. Finalmente, apuntamos unha serie de liñas nas que, ao noso xuízo, debe realizarse a adaptación da economía á física contemporánea, con todas as súas consecuencias

Referencias bibliográficas

  • ALBERT, R.; BARABASI, A. L. (2002): "Statistical Mechanics of Complex Networks", Rev. Mod. Phys., 74, pp. 47-97.
  • ANDERSON, P. (1972): "More is Different", Science, 177, pp. 393-396.
  • ANDERSON, P.; ARROW, K.; PINES, D. [ed.] (1988): The Economy as an Evolving Complex System. Redwood City, CA: Addison-Wesley.
  • Arrow, K. J. (1962): "The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing", Review of Economic Studies, 29(3), pp. 155-173.
  • ARTHUR, B. (1990): "Positive Feedbacks in the Economy", Scientific American, (February), pp. 80-85.
  • ARTHUR, B. (1999): "Complexity and the Economy", Science, 284, pp. 107-109.
  • ARTHUR, B.; DURLAUF, S. N.; LANE, D. A. (1997): The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
  • BEINHOCKER, E. D. (2006): The Origin of Wealth. Boston, MA: Harvard Bussines School Press.
  • BLUME, E. L; DURLAUF, S. N. (2005): The Economy as an Evolving Complex System III. Current Perspectives and Future Directions. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • BOCCALETTI, S. et al. (2006): "Complex Networks. Structure and Dynamics", Phys. Rep. 424, pp. 175-308.
  • CARNOT, N. S. (1824): Sur la pussance motrice du feu.
  • CLAUSIUS, R. (1867): "Über verschiedene für die Anwendung bequeme Formen der Hauptgleichungen der mechanischen Wärmetheorie", en: Abhandlungen über die mechanische Wärmetheorie.
  • DE GROOT, S. R.; MAZUR, P. (1962): Non-Equilibrium Thermodynamics. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
  • DOMAR, E. D. (1946): "Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth and Employment", Econometrica, 14(2), pp. 137-147.
  • FINE, B. (2000): "Endogenous Growth Theory: A Critical Approach", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 24(2), pp. 245-265. (Pubitemid 30186440)
  • FOSTER, J. (1993): "Economics and the Self-Organisation Approach: Alfred Marshall Revisited?", Economic Journal, 103, pp. 975-991.
  • GEORGESCU-ROEGEN, N. (1971): The Entropy Law and the Economic Process. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
  • GLANSDORFF, P.; PRIGOGINE, I. (1971): Thermodynamic Theory of Structure Stability and Fluctuations. London: Wiley.
  • HAHN, F. H.; MATTHEWS, R. C. O. (1967): "The Theory of Economic Growth: A Survey", en American Economic Assocciation and Royal Economic Society: Surveys of Economic Theory. Growth and Development, vol. II. London: Macmillan.
  • HARROD, R. F. (1939): "An Essay in Dynamic Theory", Economic Journal, 49, pp. 14-33.
  • HICKS, J. R. (1937): "Mr. Keynes and the 'Classics': A Suggested Interpretation", Econometrica, 5(2), pp. 147-159.
  • HICKS, J. R. (1950): Value and Capital: An Inquiry Into Some Fundamental Principles of Economic Theory. Oxford: Clarendon Press.
  • HOLLAND, J. H. (2006): "Studying Complex Adaptive Systems", Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 19(1), pp. 1-8. (Pubitemid 44432037)
  • JAYNES, E. T. (1991): How Should WE Use Entropy IN Economics? <http://bayes.wustl.?-edu/etj/articles/entropy.in.economics.pdf>.
  • JEVONS, W. S. (1888): Theory of Political Economy. 3 a ed. London: MacMillan.
  • JEVONS, W. S. (1905): Principles of Economics: A Fragment of the Treatise on the Industrial Mechasim of Society and Other Papers. New York, NY: MacMillan.
  • KATCHALSKY, A.; CURRAN, P. F. (1946): Non-Equilibrium Thermodynamics in Biophysics. Cambridge, Ma: Harvard University Press.
  • KEYNES, J. M. (1936): The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes. Vol. VII: The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (London: Macmillan, 1973).
  • KONDEPUDI, D.; PRIGOGINE, I. (1998): Modern Thermodynamics: From Heat Engines to Dissipative Structures. Chichester: Wiley.
  • LASZLO, E. (1996): The Systems View of the World. A Holistic Vision of our Time. New York, NY: Hampton Press.
  • LUCAS, R. (1988): "On the Mechanics of Economic Development", Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), pp. 3-42.
  • MANDELBROT, B. B. (1963): "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices", J. Business, 36, pp. 394-419.
  • MANDELBROT, B. B. (1983): The Fractal Geometry of Nature. New York, NY: Freeman.
  • MANDELBROT, B. B. (1997): Fractals and Scaling in Finance. New York, NY: Springer-Verlag.
  • MANTEGNA, R. N.; STANLEY, H. E. (2000): An Introduction to Econophysics: Correlations and Complexity in Finance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • MEADE, J. E. (1961): A Neo-Classical Theory of Economic Growth. London: Allen and Unwin.
  • MIROWSKI, P. (1988): Against Mechanism. Totowa, NJ: Rowman & Littlefield.
  • MIROWSKI, P. (1989): More Heat than Light: Economics as Social Physics, Physics as Nature's Economics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • MODIGLIANI, F. (1944): "Liquidity Preference and the Theory of Interest and Money", Econometrica, 12(1), pp. 45-88.
  • MORIN, E. (2006): El método. Vol. 1: La Naturaleza de la Naturaleza. 7 a ed. Madrid: Catedra.
  • MOROWITZ, H. J. (2002): The Emergence of Everything. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • NAMATAME, A.; KAIZOUJI, T.; ARUKA, Y. [ed.] (2006): The Complex Network of Economic Interactions: Essays in Agent-Based Economics and Econophysics. Berlin: Springer.
  • NUWAYHID, R. Y.; JABER, M. Y.; ROSEN, M. A.; SASSINE G. P. (2006): "On the Thermodynamic Treatment of Diffusion-Like Economic Commodity Flows", Int. J. Energy, 3(1), pp. 103-117.
  • ONSAGER, L. (1931): "Reciprocal Relations in Irreversible Processes. I", Phys. Rev., 37, p. 405.
  • PALMA, J. G. (2009): "The Revenge of Markets on Rentiers. Why Neo-Liberal Reports of the End of History Turned Out to be Premature", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33(4), pp. 829-869.
  • PASTOR-SATORRAS, R.; RUBI, M.; DÍAZ GUILERA A. [ed.] (2003): Statistical Mechanics of Complex Networks. Berlin: Springer.
  • PRIGOGINE, I. (1945): Etude thermodynamique des phénomènes irréversibles. (Thèse d'agrégation présentée en 1945 à l'Université Libre de Bruxelles).
  • PRIGOGINE, I. (1974): Introducción a la termodinámica de los procesos irreversibles. Madrid: Selecciones Científicas.
  • PRIGOGINE, I. (1977): The Nobel Prize in Chemistry 1977. Ilya Prigogine. <http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel-prizes/chemistry/laureates/1977/prigogine. html>.
  • PRIGOGINE, I.; HERMAN, R. (1971): Kinetic Theory of Vehicular Traffic. New York, NY: Elsevier.
  • RESCHER, N. (1998): Complexity. A Philosophical Overview. New Brunswick: Transactions Publishers.
  • ROMER, P. M. (1986): "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth", Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), pp. 1002-1038.
  • SASLOW, W. (1999): "An Economic Analogy to Thermodynamics", Am. J. Phys., 67, p. 1239.
  • SCHNEIDER, E. D.; SAGAN, D. (2005): La termodinámica de la vida. Física, cosmología, ecología y evolución. Barcelona: Tusquets.
  • SCHRÖDINGER, E. (1944): What is Life? Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • SEN, A. [ed.] (1970): Growth Economics. Harmondsworth: Penguin Education.
  • SHAHID ALAM, M. (2005): The Economy as an Energy System. Boston, MA: Northeastern University. <http://www.economics.neu.edu/papers/documents/05- 003.pdf>.
  • SMITH, E.; FOLEY, D. (2008): "Classical Thermodynamics and Economic General Equilibrium Theory", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 32(1), pp. 7-65.
  • SOLOW, R. (1956): "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), pp. 65-94.
  • SOLOW, R. (1957): "Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function", Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(3), pp. 312-320.
  • SOLOW, R. (1988): "Growth Theory and After", American Economic Review, 78(3), pp. 307-317.
  • SORNETTE, D. (2003a): Critical Market Crashes. (Physics Reports, 378).
  • SORNETTE, D. (2003b): Why Stock Markets Crash (Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems). Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  • SWAN, T. W. (1956): "Economic Growth and Capital Acumulation", The Economic Record, 32, (November), pp. 334-361.
  • TSIRLIN, A. M.; KAZAKOV, V.; KOLINKO, N. A. (2003): "A Minimal Dissipation Type-Based Classification in Irreversible Thermodynamics and Microeconomics", Eur. Phys. J. B., 35, pp. 565-570. (Pubitemid 41200968)
  • UZAWA, H. (1965): "Optimum Technical Change in an Aggregative Model of Economic Growth", International Economic Review, 6(1), pp. 18-31.
  • VOIT, J. (2003): The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets. Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
  • VON BERTALANFFY, L. (1968): General System Theory: Foundations, Development, Applications. New York, NY: Braziller.
  • VON NEUMANN, J.; MORGENSTERN, O. (1953): Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. 3 a ed. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
  • WALRAS, L. (1969): Elements of Pure Economics. New York, NY: Kelley.
  • WOODFORD, M. (2008): "Convergence in Macroeconomics: Elements of the New Synthesis", AEA Annual Meeting, pp. 1-23.
  • (Publicado en American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2009, 1(1), pp. 267-279).