Unha perspectiva combinada para acceder a cambios a curto prazo na situación económica de portugal e españa

  1. João Veríssimo LISBOA 1
  2. Mário Gomes AUGUSTO 1
  3. Juan Piñeiro-Chousa 2
  1. 1 Escola de Económicas e Instituto de Sistemas e Robótica – Universidade de Coimbra
  2. 2 Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Departamento de Economía Financeira e Contabilidade
Revista:
Revista galega de economía: Publicación Interdisciplinar da Facultade de Ciencias Económicas e Empresariais

ISSN: 1132-2799

Ano de publicación: 2015

Volume: 24

Número: 2

Páxinas: 99-110

Tipo: Artigo

DOI: 10.15304/RGE.24.2.2933 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openDialnet editor

Outras publicacións en: Revista galega de economía: Publicación Interdisciplinar da Facultade de Ciencias Económicas e Empresariais

Resumo

Este artigo propón un método diferente para identificar a curto prazo cambios na actividade económica. Usamos unha perspectiva baseada nas opinións de varios recoñecidos economistas españois e portugueses sobre a importancia dun grupo de indicadores individuais aceptados de forma xeral, que poidan avaliar a situación económica. O obxectivo do artigo é o de determinar a posición económica relativa nun período de tempo a curto e medio prazo e analizar a importancia da opinión dos economistas para describir a situación económica. Recolléronse datos trismestrais do período de 1995 a 2014 (1º semestre) das estadísticas da OECD.StatExtracts para Portugal e España. Os resultados apoian a idea de que as opinións dos economistas son importantes para explicar as características dunha economía. Malia que as súas opinións sobre o peso dunha variable determinada na descrición do nivel de actividade económica pode variar, implicitamente a longo prazo todas las opinións tenden a converxer nun mesmo patrón de evolución dunha situación económica.

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Fonte de datos: Dialnet