Analysis of the factors that condition the expansion of a coastal village through cellular automata simulation
- García Lamparte, Andrés Manuel
- Santé Riveira, Inés
- Crecente Maseda, Rafael
- López, F. J.
Verlag: Asociación Española de Ingeniería de Proyectos (AEIPRO)
ISBN: 978-84-613-3557-2
Datum der Publikation: 2009
Seiten: 82-92
Kongress: Asociación española de ingenieria de proyectos. AEIPRO (12. 2008. null)
Art: Konferenz-Beitrag
Zusammenfassung
Cellular automata, conceived by the mathematician Stanislaw Ulam and the physicist John von Neumann, have proven to be good tools for implementing models to predict and analyze land use change and urban growth dynamics. The implementation of such tools requires knowing the singularities of the processes to be simulated. Most of the models implemented so far have been concerned with the expansion of big cities but little has been done in relation to small urban areas. In this paper, we analyze the variables that govern urban growth in Ribadeo, a town of about 9000 people in northeastern Galicia, Spain, using logistic regressions and a simple cellular automata model that will allow us to study the factors that must be considered when performing simulations with these tools in small urban areas.